Krízový Manažment 2012, 11(2):5-12 | DOI: 10.26552/krm.C.2012.2.5-12

DESCRIPTION DEVELOPMENT OF FIRES IN RURAL SETTLEMENTS ADJOINING ON FORESTS

Farid ABDULALIEV1, Alexey IVANOV2
1 The Saint-Petersburg University of State Fire Service of EMERCOM of Russia, Faculty of preparation and retraining of scientific and scientific and pedagogical staff, 149, Moskovsky pr., 196105, Saint-Petersburg, Russia
2 The Saint-Petersburg University of State Fire Service of EMERCOM of Russia, Faculty of scientific and pedagogical staff training, 149, Moskovsky pr., 196105, Saint-Petersburg, Russia

In thesis consider the new approach of forecasting and spreading of fires in rural settlements with use percolation models and of the neural networks. It also gives recommendations for planning of fire prevention, firefighting strategy. The percolation process represents the spreading of the process through the grid where there is at least one continuous way through adjacent nodes from the one side to the opposite one. The neural network is description of process fire development on difficult building objects with weather conditions.

Keywords: methods of forecasting of fires, percolation process, fire extension, Markov process, the neural networks

Published: September 30, 2012  Show citation

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ABDULALIEV, F., & IVANOV, A. (2012). DESCRIPTION DEVELOPMENT OF FIRES IN RURAL SETTLEMENTS ADJOINING ON FORESTS. Krízový Manažment, 11(2), 5-12. doi: 10.26552/krm.C.2012.2.5-12
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